Machine Learning Model to Predict Postoperative Respiratory Failure

Sponsor
Seoul National University Hospital (Other)
Overall Status
Not yet recruiting
CT.gov ID
NCT04527094
Collaborator
(none)
8,000
1
10
803.6

Study Details

Study Description

Brief Summary

The main objective of this study is to develop a machine learning model that predicts postoperative respiratory failure within 7 postoperative day using a real-world, local preoperative and intraoperative electronic health records, not administrative codes.

Condition or Disease Intervention/Treatment Phase
  • Diagnostic Test: Prediction of postoperative respiratory failure using a machine learning

Detailed Description

Postoperative pulmonary complications are known to increase the length of hospital stay and healthcare cost. One of the most serious form of these complications is postoperative respiratory failure, which is also associated with morbidity and mortality. A lot of risk stratification models have been developed for identifying patients at increased risk of postoperative respiratory failure. However, these models were built by using a traditional logistic regression analysis. A logistic regression analysis had disadvantages of assuming the relationship between dependent and independent variables as linear. Recent advances in artificial intelligence make it possible to manage and analyze big data. Prediction model using a machine learning technique and large-scale data can improve the accuracy of prediction performance than those of previous models using traditional statistics. Furthermore, a machine learning technique may be a useful adjuvant tool in making clinical decisions or real-time prediction if it is integrated into the healthcare system. However, to our knowledge, there was no study investigating the predictive factors of postoperative respiratory failure using a machine-learning approach. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to develop a machine learning model that predicts postoperative respiratory failure within 7 postoperative day using a real-world, local preoperative and intraoperative electronic health records, not administrative codes and evaluate its performance prospectively.

Study Design

Study Type:
Observational
Anticipated Enrollment :
8000 participants
Observational Model:
Cohort
Time Perspective:
Prospective
Official Title:
Development and Prospective Evaluation of a Machine Learning Model to Predict Postoperative Respiratory Failure
Anticipated Study Start Date :
Nov 1, 2020
Anticipated Primary Completion Date :
Jan 31, 2021
Anticipated Study Completion Date :
Aug 31, 2021

Arms and Interventions

Arm Intervention/Treatment
AI_PRF

Adults patients undergoing general anesthesia

Diagnostic Test: Prediction of postoperative respiratory failure using a machine learning
The performance of a machine learning model to predict postoperative respiratory failure after general anesthesia within postoperative day 7 was tested prospectively.

Outcome Measures

Primary Outcome Measures

  1. the incidence of postoperative respiratory failure after general anesthesia [within postoperative day 7]

    Postoperative respiratory failure which was defined as any reintubation in the operating room, general ward, or intensive care unit after primary extubation at the end of the surgery

Eligibility Criteria

Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study:
18 Years and Older
Sexes Eligible for Study:
All
Accepts Healthy Volunteers:
No
Inclusion Criteria:
  • Adults patients undergoing general anesthesia for noncardiac surgery
Exclusion Criteria:
  • Age under 18 years

  • Surgery duration < 1 hr

  • Surgery performed only under local anesthesia or peripheral nerve block

  • Surgery related to a prior postoperative complication

  • Organ transplantation

  • Cardiac surgery

  • Surgery performed outside the operating room

  • Length of hospital stay < 24 h

  • Patients who had tracheostoma prior to surgery

  • Patients scheduled for tracheostomy

  • Patients who were not extubated at the end of the surgery in the operating room

Contacts and Locations

Locations

Site City State Country Postal Code
1 Hyun-Kyu Yoon Seoul Korea, Republic of

Sponsors and Collaborators

  • Seoul National University Hospital

Investigators

None specified.

Study Documents (Full-Text)

None provided.

More Information

Publications

None provided.
Responsible Party:
Hyun-Kyu Yoon, clinical assistant professor, Seoul National University Hospital
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:
NCT04527094
Other Study ID Numbers:
  • AI_PRF
First Posted:
Aug 26, 2020
Last Update Posted:
Oct 22, 2020
Last Verified:
Oct 1, 2020
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated Drug Product:
No
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated Device Product:
No
Keywords provided by Hyun-Kyu Yoon, clinical assistant professor, Seoul National University Hospital
Additional relevant MeSH terms:

Study Results

No Results Posted as of Oct 22, 2020