PREDAFLU: Predictive Tracking of Patient Flow in the Emergency Services During the Virus Winter Epidemics
Study Details
Study Description
Brief Summary
Epidemics and infectious diseases in general, punctuate much of the activity of an emergency service. The impact of winter infections is particularly important to vulnerable populations such as infant during bronchiolitis epidemics and the elderly during seasonal influenza. Each year, these epidemic phenomena lead to disorganization of emergency services and healthcare teams by lack of anticipation and organizational measures in particular to manage the approval of emergency services for the most vulnerable populations requiring hospitalization.
For 2 years, the pediatric emergency department of St Etienne University Hospital has a decision support tool for the periods of winter epidemics. Through a retrospective analysis of Passages of Emergency summary, this tool provides an estimate of infants with bronchiolitis flow day to day, and the availability in real time of an abnormally high flow of patients to pediatric emergencies. These data can help to affirm that the epidemic begins in this hospital.
| Condition or Disease | Intervention/Treatment | Phase |
|---|---|---|
|
Study Design
Arms and Interventions
| Arm | Intervention/Treatment |
|---|---|
| patients < 24 months or 60 years with bronchiolitis or ARF ARF = Acute Renal Failure |
Other: data retrieval
data retrieval with the Hospital Information System
|
Outcome Measures
Primary Outcome Measures
- build a predictive tool [at inclusion]
a tool with different levels of alerts of the influx of people aged to emergencies during winter epidemics. Variables in the model : activity database in emergency services, computer data, virology database and average length of stay.
Secondary Outcome Measures
- Difference between the estimated date and the effective date of the activity peak on the average length of stay of patients in the hospital of Saint Etienne [at inclusion]
- Difference between the estimated date and the effective date of the activity peak on the average length of stay of patients in the other hospitals [at inclusion]
- Comparison virological databases with clinical diagnosis of patients [at inclusion]
- Percentage of elderly staying more than 10 hours in the emergency services. [at inclusion]
Eligibility Criteria
Criteria
Inclusion Criteria:
-
child < 24 months with bronchiolitis
-
elderly < 60 years with acute renal failure or breathing problem
Exclusion Criteria:
- refuse of transmission of their data
Contacts and Locations
Locations
| Site | City | State | Country | Postal Code | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHU de Grenoble (adult emergency service) | Grenoble | France | 38000 | |
| 2 | CHU de Grenoble (pediatric service) | Grenoble | France | 38000 | |
| 3 | CHU de Lyon (adult emergency service) | Lyon | France | 69000 | |
| 4 | CHU de Lyon (laboratory of virology) | Lyon | France | 69000 | |
| 5 | CHU de Lyon HFME (pediatric service) | Lyon | France | 69000 | |
| 6 | CHU de Saint Etienne (adult emergency service) | Saint Etienne | France | 42055 | |
| 7 | CHU de Saint Etienne (Pediatric service) | Saint Etienne | France | 42055 | |
| 8 | CH de Valence (adult emergency service) | Valence | France | 26000 | |
| 9 | CH de Valence (pediatric service) | Valence | France | 26000 | |
| 10 | CH de Villefranche (adult emergency service) | Villefranche Sur Saone | France | 69655 | |
| 11 | CH de Villefranche (pediatric service) | Villefranche Sur Saone | France | 69655 |
Sponsors and Collaborators
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Saint Etienne
Investigators
- Principal Investigator: Olivier MORY, MD, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Saint Etienne
Study Documents (Full-Text)
None provided.More Information
Publications
None provided.- 1508191
- 1969303 v 0